The focus is on future climate, but the causes of climate change and variability, as well as the development of the climate in Norway since the last glaciation, and particularly during the instrumental age, are briefly described. Projected climate change through the 21st century is described under various assumptions for future emissions of greenhouse gases. Most of the estimates are based on global climate projections from the 5th Assessment Report of the IPCC. Emphasis is placed on changes up to the middle and end of the 21st century. Climate projections are influenced by uncertainties, and this topic is thoroughly discussed in the report.
Norwegian version: M-406.